What Polymarket says about the Premier League

How to read this page

Each row is an open Polymarket market related to this event. The big number is the probability the market assigns today to the leading outcome: it is the contract price, not a poll. The bar shows the Yes/No split and the line, the price over the last 7 days. Data comes from Polymarket's public API and refreshes every few minutes.

Champion, Champions League spots and relegation: three season-long markets

The Premier League winner market has one contract per club and stays open until the final matchday. Its price moves with every result, but most of all with head-to-head games between contenders: an away win at a rival is a six-point swing in the title race, and the market prices it in long before the table looks decisive.

The top-four and relegation markets work differently, because several clubs can win at once. In the Champions League qualification market, four or more clubs pay out depending on how many places England gets; in the relegation market, the three clubs that go down all pay. That is why their prices add up to well over 100%, and it is not a bug on this page.

League matches: three outcomes and only 90 minutes

For Premier League matches, Polymarket usually lists home win, draw and away win. If you buy Yes on a team and the game ends level, you lose just as if the opponent had won. League games have no extra time or penalties, so the result at the end of regulation plus stoppage time is what counts.

Some markets hinge on decisions made off the pitch, such as points deductions. Before trading one, read which official source settles it and what happens if the decision lands after the deadline. As with every Polymarket market, the result is proposed to UMA's oracle and can be disputed for two hours.

Frequently asked questions

Is this the same as a bookmaker?

No. On Polymarket you buy and sell contracts with other people, you can exit before the tournament ends, and the price reflects the probability the market assigns, not odds set by the house.

Do these markets charge fees?

Yes. Sports markets have a 0.05 taker rate under the official table. If you place a limit order and wait, you pay nothing.

How often is this page updated?

Prices refresh every few minutes from Polymarket's public API. The text is reviewed weekly.

Page reviewed on October 25, 2026.