What the market thinks will happen
Real Polymarket prices turned into probabilities. Refreshed every few minutes.
See all marketsHighest-volume market right now
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Biggest moves in 24 hours
What the market says today
Live markets
Open Polymarket markets sorted by volume. The YES price is the probability the market assigns.
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What Polymarket says about each event
Elections, tournaments, Bitcoin and central banks, with each one's markets gathered and explained.
Guides to get started
Step by step, with real screenshots and nothing made up.
- Reading the marketsHow Polymarket markets resolve: UMA's oracle in 4 stepsA proposer sets the outcome with a bond, there are 2 hours to dispute it and, if someone does, UMA holders vote. The written rules decide.Oct 25, 2026
- Deposits and withdrawalsHow to deposit on Polymarket: USDC, card or Coinbase, step by stepThe three ways to deposit on Polymarket, the simplest route from Latin America and Africa (USDC on Polygon), what it really costs and how not to lose funds.Oct 25, 2026
- Reading the marketsHow to read Polymarket odds without fooling yourselfOn Polymarket the price from 0 to 1 is the market's probability. How to read it with spread, liquidity and volume, and compare it with polls and bookmaker odds.Oct 25, 2026
- Deposits and withdrawalsHow to use Polymarket in Chile: deposits and withdrawals guidePolymarket works in Chile and the regulator has not ruled on it. Buy USDC on Buda, Binance or CryptoMKT, send it over Polygon, withdraw the same way.Oct 25, 2026
- Deposits and withdrawalsHow to use Polymarket in Kenya: from shillings to USDC and backPolymarket works in Kenya with no known restriction. Buy USDC with shillings on Binance or Bybit, send it over Polygon, and reverse it to withdraw.Oct 25, 2026
- Deposits and withdrawalsHow to use Polymarket in Mexico: deposit and withdraw in pesosPolymarket works in Mexico but does not take pesos. Buy USDC on Bitso, Binance or OKX, send it over Polygon, and reverse the route to cash out.Oct 25, 2026
Ready to try Polymarket
- Free account in two minutes, no mandatory minimum deposit to sign up.
- Deposit USDC from your exchange and withdraw whenever you want, with no Polymarket fee.
- Start small: each contract costs between 0.01 and 0.99 USD.
Referral link: it costs you nothing and helps keep MercadoDice running. Only trade money you can afford to lose.
Polymarket is not available in your country. You will only find information here, not sign-up links.
Polymarket in your country
Where it works, where it is blocked, and how to deposit with what you already use.
MexicoAvailable
PeruAvailable
ChileAvailable
EcuadorAvailable
UruguayAvailable
ParaguayAvailable
BoliviaAvailable
GuatemalaAvailable
Dominican RepublicAvailable
ColombiaBlocked
SpainBlocked
ArgentinaBlocked
VenezuelaClose-only
BrazilClose-only
NigeriaAvailable
KenyaAvailable
South AfricaAvailable
PhilippinesBlocked
IndiaBlocked




