MercadoDice

Live markets

Open Polymarket markets sorted by volume. The YES price is the probability the market assigns.

What the market says today

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What does the percentage mean?

It is the price of the "Yes" contract in cents. If Yes trades at 0.62 USDC, the market assigns a 62% probability to that outcome. It is not a poll: it is real money from people buying and selling.

How often does it update?

Roughly every five minutes. Data comes from Polymarket's public API.

Why are not all markets shown?

We show the highest-volume markets of the last 24 hours. Thin markets give unreliable probabilities.